Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · September 5, 2026
Result
Matthieu Letho Duclos defeated Luis Felipe Dias by KO/TKO in round 1 (4:35) at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse on September 5, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Matthieu Letho Duclos as the favourite at 52%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Matthieu Letho Duclos a 52% chance to beat Luis Felipe Dias (Luis Felipe Dias 48%).
The betting market prices Luis Felipe Dias at 49% (-106) and Matthieu Letho Duclos at 51% (-117), with the bookmaker margin removed.
In a clash of striking power and defensive prowess, Duclos's high finish rate may overwhelm Dias, who must rely on his elite defense to survive early on.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 63%, decision 27%, submission 10%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 27%.
Key factors
- Duclos's striking power
- Dias's elite defense
- Both fighters' cardio
Tale of the tape
| Luis Felipe Dias | Matthieu Letho Duclos | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Age | 32 | 31 |
| Height | 5'11" (180 cm) | 6'3" (191 cm) |
| UFC fights | 2 | 0 |
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