Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026
Result
Sumudaerji defeated Alex Perez by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song on August 29, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Sumudaerji as the favourite at 57%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Sumudaerji a 57% chance to beat Alex Perez (Alex Perez 43%).
With Sumudaerji riding a wave of momentum against Perez's grappling prowess, expect a clash of styles where conditioning might turn the tide in a potential late-round scramble.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 53%, KO/TKO 29%, submission 17%. The most likely way this 3-round flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 53%, over 1.5 rounds 79%, over 2.5 rounds 68%.
Key factors
- Sumudaerji's momentum advantage
- Perez's grappling control
- Sumudaerji's cardio late in fight
Tale of the tape
| Alex Perez | Sumudaerji | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-7 | 7-4 |
| Age | 34 | 31 |
| Height | 5'6" (168 cm) | – |
| UFC fights | 15 | 11 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.