Aiemann Zahabi vs Sean O'Malley: Result and Prediction
UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · June 14, 2026
Result
Sean O'Malley defeated Aiemann Zahabi by KO/TKO in round 2 (04:02:00) at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje on June 14, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Sean O'Malley as the favourite at 68%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Sean O'Malley a 68% chance to beat Aiemann Zahabi (Aiemann Zahabi 32%).
The betting market prices Aiemann Zahabi at 22% (+322) and Sean O'Malley at 78% (-455), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Aiemann Zahabi than the bookmakers: 34% for Aiemann Zahabi against the market's 22%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
O'Malley's knockout power and striking accuracy clash with Zahabi's elite cardio and defensive skills, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter with potential for a finish.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 54%, KO/TKO 35%, submission 11%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 54%, over 1.5 rounds 83%, over 2.5 rounds 70%.
Key factors
- O'Malley's KO threat
- Zahabi's elite cardio
- Defensive edge for O'Malley
Tale of the tape
| Aiemann Zahabi | Sean O'Malley | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-3 | 12-3 |
| Age | 39 | 32 |
| Height | 5'8" (173 cm) | 5'11" (180 cm) |
| Reach | – | 72" (183 cm) |
| Stance | – | Southpaw |
| UFC fights | 11 | 15 |
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