Mitch Ramirez vs Chase Hooper: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · July 18, 2026
Result
Chase Hooper defeated Mitch Ramirez by Submission in round 1 (2:15) at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman on July 18, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Chase Hooper as the favourite at 67%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Chase Hooper a 67% chance to beat Mitch Ramirez (Mitch Ramirez 33%).
The betting market prices Mitch Ramirez at 25% (+274) and Chase Hooper at 75% (-374), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Mitch Ramirez than the bookmakers: 38% for Mitch Ramirez against the market's 25%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Hooper's grappling prowess and submission threat loom large against Ramirez's striking, as the latter struggles with ground control and recent form issues.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: submission 51%, KO/TKO 34%, decision 15%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is by submission.
Fight length: goes the distance 15%.
Key factors
- Hooper's grappling control
- Ramirez's striking power
- Hooper's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Mitch Ramirez | Chase Hooper | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 9-5 |
| Age | 34 | 27 |
| Height | 5'11" (180 cm) | 6'1" (185 cm) |
| UFC fights | 3 | 14 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.