Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · November 7, 2026
Who wins Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli?
FIGHT//AI gives Marcos Degli a 64% chance to beat Mitch Raposo, who is at 36%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
The betting market prices Mitch Raposo at 34% (+176) and Marcos Degli at 66% (-237), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Mitch Raposo than the bookmakers: 40% for Mitch Raposo against the market's 34%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Degli's striking power and cardio may overwhelm Raposo, whose grappling could be his only path to victory against a potent KO threat.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 51%, decision 27%, submission 22%. The most likely way this 3-round flyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 27%.
Key factors
- Degli's elite striking
- Raposo's grappling control
- Cardio advantage for Degli
Tale of the tape
| Mitch Raposo | Marcos Degli | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Height | 5'5" (165 cm) | 5'6" (168 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 0 |
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