Ailin Perez vs Norma Dumont: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · September 26, 2026
Result
Ailin Perez defeated Norma Dumont at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on September 26, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ailin Perez as the favourite at 57%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ailin Perez a 57% chance to beat Norma Dumont (Norma Dumont 43%).
The betting market prices Ailin Perez at 57% (-151) and Norma Dumont at 43% (+121), with the bookmaker margin removed.
With Perez riding a winning streak and Dumont's defensive prowess at play, this fight is a fascinating clash between raw momentum and seasoned strategy in the octagon.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 73%, KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%. The most likely way this 3-round women's bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 73%, over 1.5 rounds 93%, over 2.5 rounds 86%.
Key factors
- Dumont's elite defense limits Perez's strikes
- Perez's grappling can control fight pace
- Dumont's experience aids in pressure situations
Tale of the tape
| Ailin Perez | Norma Dumont | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1 | 9-3 |
| Age | 32 | 36 |
| Height | 5'5" (165 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| UFC fights | 7 | 12 |
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