Gillian Robertson vs Amanda Lemos: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · March 14, 2026
Result
Gillian Robertson defeated Amanda Lemos by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos on March 14, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Gillian Robertson as the favourite at 60%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Gillian Robertson a 60% chance to beat Amanda Lemos (Amanda Lemos 40%).
The betting market prices Gillian Robertson at 67% (-238) and Amanda Lemos at 33% (+191), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Amanda Lemos than the bookmakers: 57% for Gillian Robertson against the market's 67%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Robertson riding a four-fight win streak and her grappling elite, she'll look to exploit Lemos' recent vulnerability against takedowns while the veteran seeks to keep it standing with her powerful striking.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 43%, KO/TKO 28%, submission 28%. The most likely way this 3-round women's strawweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 43%.
Key factors
- Robertson grappling control advantage
- Lemos striking power threat
- Robertson momentum from winning streak
Tale of the tape
| Gillian Robertson | Amanda Lemos | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-7 | 9-7 |
| Age | 31 | 39 |
| Height | 5'5" (165 cm) | 5'4" (163 cm) |
| UFC fights | 21 | 16 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.