Alberto Montes vs Ricky Turcios: Result and Prediction
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · March 7, 2026
Result
Alberto Montes defeated Ricky Turcios by Submission in round 2 (0:40) at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 on March 7, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Alberto Montes at only 46%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ricky Turcios a 54% chance to beat Alberto Montes (Alberto Montes 46%).
With both fighters coming off losses and showcasing ring rust, this matchup between the grappling-heavy Turcios and the possibly brittle-chinned Montes promises a chaotic clash where every strike counts.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 62%, KO/TKO 22%, submission 16%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 62%.
Tale of the tape
| Alberto Montes | Ricky Turcios | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 2-4 |
| Age | 32 | 33 |
| Height | 5'7" (170 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 2 | 6 |
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