Esteban Ribovics vs King Green: Result and Prediction
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · October 3, 2026
Result
Esteban Ribovics defeated King Green at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on October 3, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Esteban Ribovics as the favourite at 54%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Esteban Ribovics a 54% chance to beat King Green (King Green 46%).
The betting market prices Esteban Ribovics at 66% (-232) and King Green at 34% (+180), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on King Green than the bookmakers: 48% for Esteban Ribovics against the market's 66%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
In a clash of styles, Green's finishing ability and defensive prowess may outlast Ribovics' relentless cardio and striking volume in a potential war of attrition.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 48%, KO/TKO 38%, submission 14%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 48%, over 1.5 rounds 76%, over 2.5 rounds 64%.
Key factors
- Green's KO potential
- Ribovics' cardio advantage
- Green's defensive skills
Tale of the tape
| Esteban Ribovics | King Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| Age | 30 | 40 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 8 | 6 |
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