Djorden Santos vs Yousri Belgaroui: Result and Prediction
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · September 12, 2026
Result
Yousri Belgaroui defeated Djorden Santos by KO/TKO in round 1 (4:25) at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado on September 12, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Yousri Belgaroui as the favourite at 77%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Yousri Belgaroui a 77% chance to beat Djorden Santos (Djorden Santos 23%).
The betting market prices Djorden Santos at 15% (+518) and Yousri Belgaroui at 85% (-909), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Djorden Santos than the bookmakers: 35% for Djorden Santos against the market's 15%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
In a clash of styles, Belgaroui's knockout threat and defensive prowess may exploit Santos' vulnerabilities, leading to a potential finish in the later rounds.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 67%, decision 31%, submission 2%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 31%.
Key factors
- Belgaroui's striking power
- Santos' defensive limitations
- Recent form favors Belgaroui
Tale of the tape
| Djorden Santos | Yousri Belgaroui | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Age | 29 | 39 |
| Height | 6'2" (188 cm) | 6'5" (196 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 3 |
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