Alden Coria vs Imanol Rodriguez: Result and Prediction
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · October 3, 2026
Result
Imanol Rodriguez defeated Alden Coria at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on October 3, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Imanol Rodriguez as the favourite at 56%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Imanol Rodriguez a 56% chance to beat Alden Coria (Alden Coria 44%).
The betting market prices Alden Coria at 43% (+119) and Imanol Rodriguez at 57% (-149), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Rodriguez's high KO rate and defensive prowess clash with Coria's elite cardio, setting the stage for a thrilling battle of striking and endurance.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 62%, decision 22%, submission 16%. The most likely way this 3-round flyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 22%.
Key factors
- Rodriguez's KO threat
- Coria's cardio advantage
- Defensive edge for Rodriguez
Tale of the tape
| Alden Coria | Imanol Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 1-0 |
| Age | 28 | 27 |
| Height | 5'8" (173 cm) | 5'4" (163 cm) |
| UFC fights | 3 | 1 |
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