Navajo Stirling vs Jan Blachowicz: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · August 1, 2026
Result
Navajo Stirling defeated Jan Blachowicz by KO/TKO in round 1 (2:56) at UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez on August 1, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Navajo Stirling as the favourite at 62%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Navajo Stirling a 62% chance to beat Jan Blachowicz (Jan Blachowicz 38%).
The betting market prices Navajo Stirling at 72% (-323) and Jan Blachowicz at 28% (+242), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Jan Blachowicz than the bookmakers: 56% for Navajo Stirling against the market's 72%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Stirling riding a hot streak and showcasing impressive striking volume, Blachowicz must channel his experience to halt the momentum and prevent a potentially early finish.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 52%, KO/TKO 32%, submission 16%. The most likely way this 3-round light heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 52%, over 1.5 rounds 84%, over 2.5 rounds 72%.
Key factors
- Stirling momentum vs Blachowicz struggles
- Stirling striking volume advantage
- Blachowicz experience in high-pressure fights
Tale of the tape
| Navajo Stirling | Jan Blachowicz | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-0 | 12-9 |
| Age | 29 | 44 |
| Height | 6'4" (193 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 21 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.