Elise Reed vs Shanelle Dyer: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · August 22, 2026
Result
Shanelle Dyer defeated Elise Reed by KO/TKO in round 3 (1:42) at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on August 22, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Shanelle Dyer as the favourite at 76%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Shanelle Dyer a 76% chance to beat Elise Reed (Elise Reed 24%).
The betting market prices Elise Reed at 15% (+538) and Shanelle Dyer at 85% (-909), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Elise Reed than the bookmakers: 35% for Elise Reed against the market's 15%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Dyer's knockout threat looms large as Reed's limited defense may expose her to early damage, despite Reed's cardio potentially extending the fight.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 55%, decision 44%, submission 1%. The most likely way this 3-round women's strawweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 44%.
Key factors
- Dyer's striking power
- Reed's cardio advantage
- Dyer's elite defense
Tale of the tape
| Elise Reed | Shanelle Dyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 | 2-0 |
| Age | 34 | 25 |
| Height | 5'3" (160 cm) | 5'6" (168 cm) |
| UFC fights | 10 | 2 |
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