Eduarda Moura vs Casey O'Neill: Result and Prediction
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · September 19, 2026
Result
Casey O'Neill defeated Eduarda Moura by Submission in round 1 (3:22) at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 on September 19, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Casey O'Neill as the favourite at 65%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Casey O'Neill a 65% chance to beat Eduarda Moura (Eduarda Moura 35%).
The betting market prices Eduarda Moura at 33% (+183) and Casey O'Neill at 67% (-236), with the bookmaker margin removed.
In a clash of striking volume versus elite grappling, O Neill's experience and cardio might be the key to outpacing Moura, who hopes to capitalize on her ground skills for a potential upset.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 55%, KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%. The most likely way this 3-round women's flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 55%, over 1.5 rounds 87%, over 2.5 rounds 77%.
Key factors
- O Neill striking volume advantage
- Moura grappling control potential
- O Neill cardio edge in later rounds
Tale of the tape
| Eduarda Moura | Casey O'Neill | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-3 | 7-2 |
| Age | 33 | 29 |
| Height | 5'5" (165 cm) | 5'6" (168 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 9 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.