William Gomis vs Pat Sabatini: Result and Prediction
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 9, 2026
Result
Pat Sabatini defeated William Gomis by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland on May 9, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Pat Sabatini as the favourite at 55%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Pat Sabatini a 55% chance to beat William Gomis (William Gomis 45%).
The betting market prices William Gomis at 39% (+145) and Pat Sabatini at 61% (-181), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on William Gomis than the bookmakers: 48% for William Gomis against the market's 39%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Sabatini riding a wave of momentum and boasting elite grappling skills, he’ll look to neutralize Gomis’s striking volume in what could be a tactical clash.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 59%, KO/TKO 22%, submission 19%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 59%, over 1.5 rounds 88%, over 2.5 rounds 78%.
Key factors
- Sabatini grappling control advantage
- Gomis striking volume edge
- Sabatini recent momentum boost
Tale of the tape
| William Gomis | Pat Sabatini | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 9-2 |
| Age | 29 | 36 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 7 | 11 |
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