Michelle Montague vs Mayra Bueno Silva: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · April 25, 2026
Result
Michelle Montague defeated Mayra Bueno Silva by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal on April 25, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Michelle Montague as the favourite at 71%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Michelle Montague a 71% chance to beat Mayra Bueno Silva (Mayra Bueno Silva 29%).
The betting market prices Michelle Montague at 76% (-417) and Mayra Bueno Silva at 24% (+296), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Mayra Bueno Silva than the bookmakers: 65% for Michelle Montague against the market's 76%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Montague's elite grappling and high submission rate will exploit Bueno Silva's weaknesses, likely leading to a finish in this matchup of contrasting styles.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: submission 72%, KO/TKO 22%, decision 7%. The most likely way this 3-round women's bantamweight fight ends is by submission.
Fight length: goes the distance 7%.
Key factors
- Montague's elite grappling
- Submission threat high
- Bueno Silva's limited striking
Tale of the tape
| Michelle Montague | Mayra Bueno Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 5-7 |
| Age | 33 | 35 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| UFC fights | 2 | 12 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.