Josh Hokit vs Curtis Blaydes: Result and Prediction
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · April 11, 2026
Result
Josh Hokit defeated Curtis Blaydes by Decision in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg on April 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Josh Hokit at only 45%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Curtis Blaydes a 55% chance to beat Josh Hokit (Josh Hokit 45%).
The betting market prices Josh Hokit at 46% (+106) and Curtis Blaydes at 54% (-129), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Blaydes' defensive prowess and experience may neutralize Hokit's striking volume, while both fighters possess finishing capabilities that could lead to an explosive encounter.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 48%, decision 38%, submission 14%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 38%.
Key factors
- Blaydes' defensive metrics
- Hokit's cardio advantage
- Blaydes' experience factor
Tale of the tape
| Josh Hokit | Curtis Blaydes | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 15-6 |
| Age | 29 | 36 |
| Height | 6'1" (185 cm) | 6'4" (193 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 21 |
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