Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes · December 12, 2026
Who wins Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich?
FIGHT//AI gives Sergei Pavlovich a 54% chance to beat Alex Pereira, who is at 46%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
With Pavlovich riding a wave of momentum and grappling control, Pereira's striking accuracy will be tested against a dangerous opponent who's known for his knockout power.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 64%, decision 28%, submission 8%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 28%, over 1.5 rounds 66%, over 2.5 rounds 45%.
Key factors
- Pavlovich grappling control advantage
- Pereira striking volume edge
- Pavlovich KO power threat
Tale of the tape
| Alex Pereira | Sergei Pavlovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-3 | 9-3 |
| Age | 39 | 34 |
| Height | 6'4" (193 cm) | 6'3" (191 cm) |
| Reach | 79" (201 cm) | – |
| Stance | Orthodox | – |
| UFC fights | 13 | 12 |
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