Jaqueline Amorim vs Loma Lookboonmee: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · May 30, 2026
Result
Jaqueline Amorim defeated Loma Lookboonmee by Submission in round 1 (04:04:00) at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo on May 30, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Jaqueline Amorim at only 49%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Loma Lookboonmee a 51% chance to beat Jaqueline Amorim (Jaqueline Amorim 49%).
The betting market prices Jaqueline Amorim at 55% (-140) and Loma Lookboonmee at 45% (+113), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Loma Lookboonmee than the bookmakers: 43% for Jaqueline Amorim against the market's 55%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Amorim's grappling prowess clashes with Lookboonmee's striking volume, making this matchup a potential showcase of submission attempts against a durable opponent with a recent losing streak.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 52%, submission 28%, KO/TKO 19%. The most likely way this 3-round women's strawweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 52%, over 1.5 rounds 86%, over 2.5 rounds 74%.
Key factors
- Amorim's grappling dominance
- Lookboonmee's striking volume
- Cardio advantage for Lookboonmee
Tale of the tape
| Jaqueline Amorim | Loma Lookboonmee | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 7-4 |
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Height | 5'3" (160 cm) | – |
| UFC fights | 7 | 11 |
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