Kyoji Horiguchi vs Manel Kape: Result and Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · June 20, 2026

Result

Manel Kape defeated Kyoji Horiguchi by KO/TKO in round 3 (02:42:00) at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi on June 20, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Manel Kape as the favourite at 57%, so the result went with the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Manel Kape a 57% chance to beat Kyoji Horiguchi (Kyoji Horiguchi 43%).

The betting market prices Kyoji Horiguchi at 41% (+131) and Manel Kape at 59% (-163), with the bookmaker margin removed.

With Kape's striking precision and grappling edge pitted against Horiguchi's relentless cardio, this clash of styles could turn into a battle of attrition late in the rounds.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: decision 50%, KO/TKO 38%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 5-round flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.

Fight length: goes the distance 50%, over 1.5 rounds 83%, over 2.5 rounds 69%.

Key factors

• Kape striking accuracy advantage
• Horiguchi cardio in later rounds
• Kape grappling control potential

Tale of the tape

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