Damian Rzepecki vs Magomed Zaynukov: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · July 25, 2026
Result
Magomed Zaynukov defeated Damian Rzepecki by Decision in round 3 at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov on July 25, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Magomed Zaynukov as the favourite at 60%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Magomed Zaynukov a 60% chance to beat Damian Rzepecki (Damian Rzepecki 40%).
The betting market prices Damian Rzepecki at 28% (+240) and Magomed Zaynukov at 72% (-317), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Damian Rzepecki than the bookmakers: 55% for Damian Rzepecki against the market's 28%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Rzepecki's striking power and elite defense could exploit Zaynukov's recent struggles, making for a potentially explosive finish in this clash of styles.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 51%, decision 24%, submission 24%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 24%.
Key factors
- Rzepecki's KO threat
- Elite defensive skills
- Zaynukov's experience
Tale of the tape
| Damian Rzepecki | Magomed Zaynukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Age | 25 | 32 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 5'11" (180 cm) |
| UFC fights | 1 | 1 |
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