Jackson McVey vs Wes Schultz: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · August 22, 2026
Result
Jackson McVey defeated Wes Schultz by KO/TKO in round 1 (4:13) at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on August 22, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Jackson McVey as the favourite at 56%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Jackson McVey a 56% chance to beat Wes Schultz (Wes Schultz 44%).
The betting market prices Jackson McVey at 62% (-186) and Wes Schultz at 38% (+148), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Wes Schultz than the bookmakers: 45% for Jackson McVey against the market's 62%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Schultz's elite grappling and submission skills could exploit McVey's weaknesses, turning the fight into a tactical ground battle with potential for a finish.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: submission 52%, KO/TKO 31%, decision 18%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by submission.
Fight length: goes the distance 18%.
Key factors
- Schultz's grappling advantage
- High submission threat
- Solid defensive metrics
Tale of the tape
| Jackson McVey | Wes Schultz | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Age | 28 | 30 |
| Height | 6'4" (193 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 3 |
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